Wednesday, March 07, 2007

CROX - A Crock of ?

Notable Calls reports on Piper Jaffray and the fact that they are impressed with CROX Japanese operations.

To be honest the first time I saw Crocs in a store I immediately thought of Asia because it looked like a shoe invented Japan. Back in the 60's when I spent some quality time running around Japan I saw that style of shoe everywhere - it was a simple sandal easy to get on and off. Turns out it wasn't and is only now entering that market. Anyway here's the chart and as much as I respect Piper Jaffray (not) I think this is a crock -



This stock, like so many others I've looked at in the past week or so was breaking down before the meltdown. I see a peak week of 02/05 followed by a rebound (which is generally what happens when the previous week doesn't break the EMA) followed by a crashing stock - you can't help but notice the volume pattern. And that was a week before the market melted down. Are we discerning a pattern here?

So saying I also see an opportunity to pick up a couple of quick bucks if you wait for the ATR to roll over and start declining. It is possible you might be able to game a couple of quid out of CROX without the old beast even knowing it happened but keep a tight and trailing stop. If it continues to rise you are all the better but if after a quick buck or two it resumes its falling then you preserve your profit.

3 comments:

Adam said...

hey, don't diss Crocs, or my son will come find you, lol.

Marlyn Trades said...

Nothing free that I know of - but the one I use stockfetcher.com is about 30 bucks a quarter and it works for me.

Of course it doesn't have the features of TC2007 such as a chat with the Worden Bros or the CD with all of their tips and hints but you get what you pay for.

The thing I like about stockfetcher is that I can program just about any cockamamie method into it that I can think of and get an output that I can test. As a result I can program in my BOB or tweezer bottom or return to 4/8 and so on and get verifiable results instantly. I know not everyone is that much of a geek but that kind of thing is important to me. I just don't want to do what everyone else is doing. How many Blogs have you read lately that say watch the ATR for a decline and then trade? One and that's here.

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