We've had some crazy moves today - it was raining most of the day so I couldn't get outside much and spent the day glued to my screens. Just as well - I had a couple of opportunities and I took advantage of them. I bought DPTR off a cross over but was premature. I'm holding it through the next couple of days because I expect the market will take off again next week. I added a little to GGB and a little to AKS. GGB is about half weight now and AKS is 90%. I'm still holding JST and will give it another couple of days and if it doesn't move with the market next week - it will be gone.
Here's a story on me - I bought a couple hundred shares of MFE this morning just because I wanted some tech exposure, I like the company and it pulling back from a rise. As is my habit (for want of a better word) I put a 25-cent stop below my buy price and hardwired it into the account. I hit the transaction button and then switched to the accounts screen to ensure all was OK - I couldn't find MFE. Totally confused I went to the stop screen and still couldn't find MFE. I then switched to the execute screen and there was MFE - bought and 30 seconds later stopped out. I think the second I hit the transaction key on the stop order it triggered. Needless to say it sat right on that number for the rest of the day and closed 1 cent below it. I don't own MFE and I never will.
Here is the rest of the story on the Q's -
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And isn't that a neat end to an interesting day? I don't know how to characterize this action except - wow!
The INDU ATR is down a bit to 101.44 and this guy continues to recede -
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I think this means that the rally continues.
The model portfolio that I wrote about this morning lost a bit (2.31) and posted a 15.59 (ICON was the big loser on the day). The benchmark gained a few to 6.39. Still 9 points of Alpha is nothing to sneeze at.
The three amigos (winkin, blinkin, and nod) are embarrassing to say the least - MSFT broke 30 again with a 1.02 now let's see how long it can hold it - doubt it will be for long - I mean this is the stock that rang up 69% profit yesterday evening and all it can gain is 1.02. AAPL managed to pull within 8 cents of a 100 even with its 1.08 gain and GOOG resumed the fall, or the slide - whatever you want to call it.
The VIX stays in neutral which is just as well (neutral, for those who don't know the code is that region between -10 points below the 10-period moving average and 10 points above the average).
A month ago I put together (and wrote about in the BLog) what I called the "must buy" portfolio - 15 stocks that kept going up through the collapse in late March. It is now ringing up 5.22% (that's one month returns folks). I'll publish those names over the weekend. There's probably a few on there some folks would like to put in their core portfolios.
The good news is the up/down ratio is printing 39% - look out above.
For Monday I'm forecasting an up day.
Coin says tails - looking for a down day.
Coin missed, I forecast a split day with the DOW up and the COMPQ down - only got that half right so I'm giving us both a loss. The score is now Marlyn 27 - 27 and 12 and the coin is 30 - 24 and 12.
2 comments:
Good morning. I witnessed the sunrise for the first time this entire week. I was beginning to think the sun was out of favor with the Midwest!
I know you advocate the use of pivot points, and you've made a believer out of me, so I wanted to share with you the 10 minute chart of CF from April 25th. It's one of those rare beauties that screams, "Buy me!" What I saw beginning with the 11:00 candle: Tweezer Bottom, Crossover dissecting a pivot point, a Marabuzo closing at its high, a ski slope, a declining ATR and an RSI(2) spiking past 90. The entire trade lasts 70 minutes and then it's time for lunch and 27 holes!
Philip
Same stock popped a BOB on Thursday and ran up a buck in 2 hours. Friday's open was nothing to sneer at going from and rsi(2) < 2 at S3 to pivot in 20 minutes. That would have been a quick 2 bucks.
When you get a good stock always go back the next day or so - you might get another bite or two of the apple.
Good for you.
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