Showing posts with label ACOR. Show all posts
Showing posts with label ACOR. Show all posts

Tuesday, March 06, 2007

Tuesday Wraps

Well that was better. This indicator - NewMoMo - seems to know what it is talking about.


Who knows maybe they'll name this one after me - Marlyn's MoMo. Wouldn't that be nice.

I bought both AMMD and ACOR but ACOR proved too volatile for my tastes and I dumped out of it soon after the purchase. I increased my position in AMMD this afternoon. I also increased positions in AKS and GGB this morning early. TIE and GRA remain the same. Although I should have played TIE a little more aggressively but of all my holdings at the moment it has the highest ATR and that still has me worried a bit even though it is falling while TIE is going up. I might put a little more on it tomorrow if the ATR continues to fall.

I picked up AMMD just as it passed through Resistance 1 at 19.73. It went right up to resistance 2 and if I were day trading it that would have been where I would have sold it for a nice quarter profit. But I'd already decided to hold on to it so I did and then I added to it when it crossed R2 again. You can play the pivots high or low - high on a gap up and low on a gap down. If you don't use them you should take the time to study them and start.

The VIX dropped way down today and that too was expected but until it drops more than 10 below it's 10-period moving average we are probably going to continue going up. The INDU ATR continues to increase and note that in order to be sure we have hit the bottom it should start decreasing. It is 174 and change today and yesterday it printed 166.29.

The model portfolio is -.30 and the benchmark is -.42 and for the first time in a week we are ahead of the benchmark - not by much but every little bit helps.

The three pals all went up today and that wasn't hard but GOOG led the way at 3.77% followed by AAPL and then MSFT. GOOG hit that flat spot from 11 to 1:30 or so and then just started climbing through the rest of the afternoon.

Now for the news - the reason why the market went up today wasn't because it was completely oversold - no sir - the reason why the markets went up today was because of investors being encouraged because the "world" markets went up today. The fact that factory orders were way down had absolutely no effect but had the market gone down - that would have been blamed. Clueless - just clueless. Absolutely no mention of the fact that the Yen is cheapening thus taking some of the edge off and certainly no mention of the fact that billions of dollars started pouring into the brokerages today in the form of 401K money - no - just encouragement because the world markets started recovering. Right.

The 4 major indices that we follow all printed red/black candles in the last hour and that is a good sign. The up/down ratio however printed 73% and that isn't so good - too much exuberance.

Regardless I think we could have another up day tomorrow surely all the dip buyers aren't gone yet.

Meanwhile the coin says .... tails - thinks it will be down.

The score now stands at Marlyn 17 - 15 and 5 and the coin is 15 - 17 and 5.

Two Fer Tuesday

And no it's not happy hour down at the old watering hole - just a couple of stocks I surfaced using my famous filter (well in my mind anyway) - ATR + RSI. This time I added a twist and included one more criterion - the stock's close hit a 26 week high 10 days ago. You could make it 7 or 12 days ago but I settled on 10 for a simple reason - I wanted to see what it was doing just before the collapse - in other words was it already rolling over or rebounding from the "trader's action zone". If the former I didn't want it and if the latter I do want it. Or was it continuing to make new highs when the crash came? I definitely want that kind of stock. I found several candidates but these two caught my eye

  • AMMD

  • ACOR


These two met the criteria perfectly and also weren't crashing immediately afterwards.

This filter modified this way is not good for day to day activities because it is tailored to this set of market conditions. In fact I probably won't use it again. But I'm pretty sure I'm going to take an initial position in both of these selections at market open and I'll give the details tonight if I do. If I do take a shot I will set my stop at 4% below the buy price.

Just remember we might or might not have an up day today but we are not out of the woods yet so don't go crazy - but it might be a good time to start trying to take advantage of this opportunity in small steps.