Showing posts with label DEI. Show all posts
Showing posts with label DEI. Show all posts

Tuesday, March 27, 2007

Another Good Trade - Another Good Lesson

Philip took a good trade on MRX yesterday - one which I would have taken in an instant - and he held it correctly to the R1 point and then took his profits. Excellent trade, brilliant execution. Something all of us can do every day if we have the patience to wait for the set-up and don't try to force it.



Let me go over this with you - a classic BOB set-up coupled with a crossover - coupled with, as we already know, a market turn and reversal (see previous post) and you must have the highest confidence in this trade. While I don't recommend it you can almost take it without a stop-loss (although one placed right below the tail of the previous red candle would be appropriate).

As far as I'm concerned Philip did the right thing by taking profits at R1 and I would have as well but there is another indicator on this chart that we sometimes overlook.

Take a look at the DEI chart, the trade from the previous post - this time with annotation -



Frequently, not always but almost always a top is accompanied by a volume spike (1). This is followed by a lower volume (2) and then an exit candle (3).

If you look at MRX you will see that the first contact with R1 resulted in a return to 4 and then a launch off of that into the 1 - 2 - 3 exit scenario described above.

But it takes real courage not to book profits and a lot of practice to wait for that kind of exit.

Keep An Eye On The General Market

I found DEI on the BOB set-up filter Sunday Night and had I been around on Monday I could have played it.



First there is the BOB at 10:30 and even though the previous two candles don't appear to fit the software is set-up to output a BOB when one is found and that's what it did here.

If that wasn't enough then the candle at 10:15 being the second bounce on S1 would have informed your trade. In other words you could have taken this as an S1 trade because two candles had already tried to pierce S1 and had failed. As it turned out 4 candles attempted and failed - so the candle at 11:00 would have said to you "I'm going up - buy me."

If that failed then the crossover at 11:30 might have given one a clue that this was a good buy.

For an exit - we have the DOJI just before R1 followed by a spinner that touched R1 - that's your clue to take the profit and run.

If that wasn't enough then you could have blindly bought DEI based on QQQQ action. In other words seeing it bouncing along S1 at 10:15 you can be fairly confident that it is going up. Then, a quick glance at your QQQQ chart would convince you that the market is turning.



When you trade - keep your eye on the general market for excellent signals of what to do next. And try not to trade against the market - it seldom works. Of course - sometimes the market continues and your trade collapses - also be ready to read the topping signals.